Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Factor 10 Thinking or a Ticket to Mars





By: Murray Guy | Lean Lab




Venture Capitalist and co-founder of PayPal, Peter Thiel built a hugely successful company based upon Contrarian thinking.  “Find an important truth about something you believe to be true, that very few people agree with you on, figure out a Factor 10 times superior solution” and become one of the companies to build the future.





Paul Hanley, author of ELEVEN, couldn't agree more about Factor 10.  As that is the absolute minimum amount of resource use reduction needed for there to be a future for the 11 Billion people that will occupy this planet by 2100.  What this means is innovation and a commitment are needed to reduce our current ecological footprint of 1.6 planets that is not sustainable.  Paul is very optimistic that we can be successful and if we all get going on this soon. Then just maybe we won't be needing to buy tickets to MARS.




Factor Ten is the radical idea that humanity must reduce resource turnover by 90% on a global scale within the next 30 to 50 years and that human energy use and material flows are currently unsustainable and destructive to the environment. To achieve dematerialization, Factor 10 proposes that within the next generation, human energy use must decrease by a factor of 10, and resource productivity and efficiency must increase by a factor of 10.



Elon Musk on the other hand despite doing everything possible with the Tesla electric car company and installing PV panels across the country, is a little less optimistic that we have what it takes to get Factor 10 done!  So he is working real hard at getting the SpaceX ship ready for blastoff.



Musk, as he will gladly tell you, has a vision: Colonize Mars and make humans a multi-planet civilization. He sees it as insurance against a global catastrophe that leads to human extinction. (Quartz)

To make it affordable to blast off into space, Elon Musk has adopted lean practices that enable SpaceX to build rockets at half the cost. In his self titled book we learn what it takes to launch successful clean-tech start-ups.

"The secret to the low cost is relatively simple, at least in principle: Do as much as possible in-house, in an integrated manufacturing facility, with modern components; and avoid the unwieldy supply chains, legacy designs, layers of contractors, and “cost-plus” billing that characterized SpaceX’s competitors."  



To make it affordable to blast a Broken Building into the future, we need to adopt these same waste reducing, productivity improving and value creating activities to create Factor10 buildings and communities.






As a pilot we decided to test out the assumption that we could build Factor 10 designs pioneered by building scientists like Rob Dumont at no additional cost. With five Net 0 targeted pilot projects in progress we have been successful in demonstrating that Factor 10 is economically viable. In fact, we can go beyond that and deliver Net 0 energy buildings at Net 0 additional cost with the right people as demonstrated by Dennis Cuku on the Mosaic Project in Edmonton. 

As we venture forward with Factor 10 as the target and lean as the strategy we can be confident that the building industry can take care of their 40% of the climate change problem.  

So Elon, you don't need to launch that rocket just yet.  The world is waking up to the fact that climate change is a reality and that the cost of prevention is much less than dealing with the collapse of our civilization.

So WHY not give Lean Project Delivery a GO, join the Factor 10 Revolution and help establish Net 0 buildings as a mega-trend.

Have an awesome day while contributing to preserving the beautiful planet Earth! 

Contact  .... Murray Guy aka @Lean_tobe_Green | mguy@i-designs.ca


Thank you QUARTZ for this wonderful article on Space Travel   ... or is it Lean Project Delivery? 

What it took for Elon Musk’s SpaceX to disrupt Boeing, leapfrog NASA, and become a serious space company - Quartz

'via Blog this'


mguy@i-designs.ca /www.i-designs.ca




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